NAVA Analytics & Research was founded to deliver concrete, tangible predictive insights for sea-borne container trade. Combining machine learning methodologies with 28 years of deep industry and macro-economic knowledge, NAVA transforms complex trade data into accurate, resilient predictive intelligence.
Introduction to NAVA
About Us
Built on Accuracy
At NAVA, we believe predictive intelligence should be actionable, reliable, and resilient. Our models combine deep maritime expertise with advanced machine learning to help businesses anticipate change rather than simply react to it.
Global Container Trade
As an immediate proof-of-concept, and a courtesy to the industry, Nava is sharing its monthly predictions of aggregate global container trade (based on Container Trade Statistics: https://containerstatistics.com/ or CTS ) until Dec 2026, with the corresponding accuracy metric. On a monthly basis, as actual data is published by CTS, Nava will also update this chart and the metric.
Accuracy Scorecard
Our predictive models are continuously evaluated across the 7 major trade lanes that cover ~75% of global container trade.
*Accuracy is measured monthly and benchmarked against our performance standards.
Notes
1. Due to Chinese New Year falling on a different date every year in the solar calender. If Feb and Mar are combined, the accuracy of (Feb + Mar) prediction versus actual was 99%.
2. Likely a 1-month blip: NAVA will revise or build a new model if accuracy falls below 95% for more than 2 months consecutively.
3. Due to the Iran Conflict, a new model was built and is performing well since Mar 2026 (subject to continued uncertainty).
Accuracy Metrics
*Our models are designed to be resilient to market shocks. When necessary, we quickly revise our models to adapt to the "new normal" and maintain the accuracy our clients rely on.